Think Like an Engineer, not a Cheerleader
When you see a chart like this—
—you probably think if I were staking my career on technologies, I would want to jump from the older technology to the new just at the point where that adoption curve starts to really drive upward.
Going back many years, I recognize this s-curve. It was used for FDDI, ATM, Banyan Vines, Novell Netware, and just about every new technology that has ever entered the market.
- There are technology jump points where an entire market will move from one technology to another
- From a career perspective, it is sometimes wise to jump to a new technology when at the early stages of such a jump
- However, there are risks invovled, such as hidden costs that prevent the jump from occurring
- Hence, you need to be cautious and thoughtful when considering jumping to a new technology
The problem with this curve, Continue reading